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  • Veröffentlichung
    Integrated scenarios of sustainable food production and consumption in Germany
    (2013) Lorenz, Ullrich; Veenhoff, Sylvia
    Making food production and consumption more sustainable is a highly complex venture, requiring varied policy instruments. While finding an integrated and coherent approach is difficult, the use of strategic foresight might help to fill the gap. This article presents the results of an extensive scenario-building process in which we searched for sustainable solutions regarding food production and consumption in various possible future contexts in Germany. First, so-called context scenarios were formulated to describe different developments beyond the control of the relevant players, but that might have a significant impact on food production and consumption. Second, strategic food scenarios were developed to examine a wide range of sustainable solutions. Finally, the context and strategic food scenarios were merged and assessed to provide policy makers with a helpful ?reality check" on different strategy options and guidance in prioritization. We explain the underlying methodology and, after a brief discussion of the main advantages and limitations of our approach, we draw some conclusions for sustainable food-consumption policy, highlighting the important role of society.
    Quelle: http://sspp.proquest.com
  • Veröffentlichung
    Towards a resource efficient and greenhouse gas neutral Germany 2050
    (2018) Günther, Jens; Lehmann, Harry; Lorenz, Ullrich; Pfeiffer, David; Purr, Katja
  • Veröffentlichung
    Scenario-based strategizing: Advancing the applicability in strategists' teams
    (2017) Lehr, Thomas; Lorenz, Ullrich; Willert, Markus
    For over 40 years, scenarios have been promoted as a key technique for forming strategies in uncertain environments. However, many challenges remain. In this article, we discuss a novel approach designed to increase the applicability of scenario-based strategizing in top management teams. Drawing on behavioural strategy as a theoretical lens, we design a yardstick to study the impact of scenario-based strategizing. We then describe our approach, which includes developing scenarios and alternative strategies separately and supporting the strategy selection through an integrated assessment of the goal-based efficacy and robustness. To facilitate the collaborative strategizing in teams, we propose a matrix with robustness and efficacy as the two axes, which we call the Parmenides Matrix. We assess the impact of the novel approach by applying it in two cases, at a governmental agency (German Environmental Ministry) and a firm affected by disruptive change (Bosch, leading global supplier of technology and solutions). Quelle: www.sciencedirect.com
  • Veröffentlichung
    Global megatrends and resource use
    (2018) Lorenz, Ullrich; Sverdrup, Harald Ulrik; Ragnarsdóttir, Kristin Vala